Brazil 2026/27 Late Harvest Update
Brazil's 2026/27 harvest is expected arrive late, despite a strong production recovery led by Arabica. While persistent rainfall and a delayed Robusta maturation have slowed harvest operations, early quality indicators remain promising. At the same time, Sucafina continues to expand its sustainability initiatives, advancing IMPACT verification and regenerative agriculture projects across key producing regions.
This article at a glance
Brazil's 2026/27 crop is forecast to reach 75.4 million bags, driven by a 27% increase in Arabica production. However, the harvest is progressing at a significantly slower pace.
Despite harvest delays, quality is promising with 25% of Arabica graded screen 17+ and 70% of Robusta graded screen 13+, indicating good bean size and overall quality.
Our team in Brazil plans to expand IMPACT verification by 16% in 2026 while scaling regenerative agriculture through demonstration plots, producer training and flagship initiatives such as SEMEIA and RE.CO.LHA.
Arabica
Brazil's Arabica harvest is progressing more slowly than usual, as recurring rainfall throughout May and June have delayed harvesting. As of June 26, the overall Brazilian harvest had reached 45.2%, below both last year's pace (52.1%) and the historical average (51%). Harvesting is expected to continue through September.
Despite the slower pace, Arabica production is forecast to increase by 27% compared to the previous crop, driving Brazil's total 2026/27 crop estimate to 75.4 million bags. Early quality indicators are in line with expectations for a high-volume crop, with screen 17+ beans accounting for around 25% of harvested volumes. Although the recurring rains have delayed this year's harvest, they have also supported tree health and vegetative growth, suggesting a positive outlook for the 2027/28 crop, as well.
Robusta
Similar to Arabica, the Robusta harvest is also behind schedule, primarily due to a later-than-usual maturation cycle rather than weather disruptions. Harvest activity began within the usual window (April and May) but has progressed at a significantly slower pace. Completion is expected by the end of July. While Robusta production is forecast to decline slightly (approximately 4% year-on-year), early quality has been encouraging, with around 70% of beans grading screen 13 and above. Overall quality remains strong, supporting expectations for a solid crop despite the delayed harvest.
Our Ongoing Sustainability Efforts in Brazil
Our sustainability efforts continue to gain momentum as we advance the re-verification of IMPACT producer groups across the Cerrado, Mogiana, Sul de Minas and Conilon regions. This process reinforces our commitment to responsible sourcing, partnerships at origin and high-quality standards, all delivered through IMPACT, Sucafina's Responsible Sourcing Program.
In 2026, our team in Brazil aims to expand IMPACT verification by approximately 16%, with the strongest growth across Arabica-producing regions. Matas de Minas has been identified as a strategic priority, and updated participation figures are expected to be finalized by September.
Through IMPACT Beyond, we continue to deepen our focus on regenerative agriculture. Across participating farms, producers are receiving assistance on low-carbon fertilizers, composting, irrigation management and soil health assessment using Embrapa's BioAS methodology. BioAS (short for Bioanalysis of Soil) adds a biological layer to routine soil testing, measuring the activity of two enzymes, arylsulfatase and beta-glucosidase, to read the soil's health, sustainability and productive potential in real time. This helps us catch signs of degradation early and build long-term soil resilience. So far, we have set over 45 demonstration plots and trained around 50 producers, giving farmers practical, field-based learning to build on.
2026 is a pivotal year as our projects move from planning into implementation, led by two flagship IMPACT Beyond initiatives: SEMEIA and RE.CO.LHA. RE.CO.LHA runs across Brazil's Arabica regions, Cerrado, Mogiana and South Minas Gerais, on a four-year cycle, targeting 300 farms with technical assistance, farmer training and on-farm interventions to improve soil health, cut production costs and lower carbon emissions.
SEMEIA, now in its first year, is transforming Brazil's Robusta sector. In 12 months, we have run more than 100 soil analyses covering physical, chemical and biological indicators, distributed more than 120 tonnes of low-carbon fertilizers, measured farm carbon footprints and, through our partnership with EMATER-MG, introduced production cost analyses that give producers clearer visibility into their costs.
"It is incredibly rewarding to see the positive feedback from farmers," says Mariana Martins, Sustainability Manager at Sucafina Brasil. "What stands out most is our collaborative approach, aligning farmers' needs with what investors expect. It is a challenge, but an inspiring one, because every step forward builds a more sustainable and profitable future for the communities we support."